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Occupational Medicine Advance Access published online on October 27, 2007

Occupational Medicine, doi:10.1093/occmed/kqm114
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© The Author 2007. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society of Occupational Medicine. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Mesothelioma in vehicle mechanics: is the risk different for Australians?

Michael A. Kelsh1,2, Valerie A. Craven3, Mary Jane Teta4, Fionna S. Mowat1 and Michael Goodman5

1 Exponent, Inc., 149 Commonwealth Drive, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA
2 Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Box 951772, 650 Charles E. Young Drive, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
3 Exponent, Inc., 500 12th Street, Suite 220, Oakland, CA 94607, USA
4 Exponent, Inc., 420 Lexington Avenue, Suite 1740, New York, NY 10170, USA
5 Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, 1518 Clifton Road, NE, Room 430, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA

Background The question of whether vehicle mechanics have an increased risk of mesothelioma has important public health implications. Calculations of relative risk using case reports from the Australian Mesothelioma Registry (AMR) indicate increased risks; however, this contrasts with the results of 19 epidemiologic studies that have found no association.

Aim To evaluate potential explanations for the discrepancy of findings from epidemiologic studies and AMR reports.

Methods We evaluated three hypotheses as possible explanations for the inconsistency between the AMR-based calculations and the findings from published epidemiologic studies: (i) differences in exposure characteristics of Australian vehicle mechanics versus vehicle mechanics in North America and Europe, (ii) limitations of the AMR data and (iii) errors in the risk calculations based on AMR data. We reviewed available exposure information specific to Australian vehicle mechanics and AMR data, obtained from the Australian National Occupational Health and Safety Commission, for this evaluation.

Results We did not identify differences in workplace exposures, processes or fibre type among Australian vehicle mechanics compared to vehicle mechanics in other countries. Our analysis of primary AMR data identified several errors in exposure classification and in the assumptions used to calculate relative risk.

Conclusions Discrepancies between epidemiologic studies and AMR-based calculations cannot be explained by differences in exposure. These discrepancies are most likely attributable to inadequate occupational information and classification in the AMR from 1986 forward and to erroneous assumptions used to derive relative risk estimates for mesothelioma among Australian vehicle mechanics.

Keywords      Asbestos; brakes; epidemiology; mesothelioma registry; motor mechanics; motor vehicle mechanics


Correspondence to: Michael A. Kelsh, Exponent, 149 Commonwealth Drive, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA. Tel: +1 650 688 1764; e-mail: mkelsh{at}exponent.com


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